the W.post

Posted: April 26, 2016 in the washington post __, world midia

If you’re having trouble reading this, click here.The Daily 202  Share on Twitter  Share on FacebookDown-ballot women hope to ride the Hillary Clinton train in today’s Acela Primary
Hillary Clinton held a pre-election rally last night&nbsp;at City Hall Park in Philadelphia.&nbsp;(Photo by Melina Mara/The Washington Post)</p>
Hillary Clinton held a pre-election rally last night at City Hall Park in Philadelphia. (Photo by Melina Mara/The Washington Post)

THE BIG IDEA: Pennsylvania is notoriously inhospitable to women politicians. But both Hillary Clinton and Katie McGinty are considered the favorites to win primaries here today, positioning them to possibly shatter significant glass ceilings come November.
PHILADELPHIA—Arlen Specter came off as badly, if not worse, than any other senator during the Clarence Thomas confirmation hearings.
The way he pilloried Anita Hill from his perch of authority on the Senate Judiciary Committee helped lead to “the Year of the Woman” in 1992. California, Washington and Illinois elected female senators. In Pennsylvania, Lynn Yeakel – the daughter of a former congressman – was able to capture the Democratic nod in a primary. But she narrowly lost to Specter.
That was the last time either major party in Pennsylvania nominated a woman for Senate or governor. Today all 20 members of the commonwealth’s congressional delegation are men.
“All women candidates have different expectations placed upon them,” said Dana Brown, executive director of the nonpartisan Pennsylvania Center for Women and Politics. “One of the greatest challenges that women have running in Pennsylvania is the incumbency advantage. We have a long history of incumbents winning time and again.”
Supporters watch Hillary speak at City Hall park in Philadelphia last night.&nbsp;(Photo by Melina Mara/The Washington Post)</p>
Supporters watch Hillary speak at City Hall park in Philadelphia last night. (Photo by Melina Mara/The Washington Post)
— Clinton’s big win in New York last week seems to have given her some meaningful momentum. Hillary’s coattails might help other female candidates down ballot.
The 189 Democratic delegates available in Pennsylvania make it the biggest prize in the presidential race on a day when four other states are also voting. It is being called
the “Acela Primary,” though some are dubbing it “the I-95 primary.” Polls close everywhere at 8 p.m.
McGinty ran for governor in 2014 and finished fourth in the Democratic primary. The man who won, Tom Wolf, hired her as his chief of staff. She was then recruited by national Democrats to take on Joe Sestak. The retired admiral and former congressman toppled Specter in a 2010 Democratic primary after the now-deceased senator switched parties. Party leaders believe Sestak would once again lose to Republican Sen. Pat Toomey in a general election. McGinty is getting heavy support from President Obama, EMILY’s List and the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee.
Katie McGinty&nbsp;(Photo By Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call)</p>
Katie McGinty (Photo By Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call)
— McGinty is a strong supporter of Clinton (she worked on environmental issues in the Clinton administration) and her messaging closely echoes Hillary’s. Both are running as progressive pragmatists who won’t let the perfect be the enemy of the good and can break through gridlock. Each talks a great deal about “breaking down barriers.”— Clinton could also be a factor in Maryland. Both Clinton and Democratic Senate candidate Donna Edwards, an African American single mother, received 16-points greater support among likely women voters than male voters in a Washington Post poll conducted earlier this month. Clinton got 63 percent among women vs. 47 percent among men, while Edwards got 50 percent among women vs. 34 percent among men, per pollster Scott Clement.
— State Sen. Jamie Raskin was the early front-runner to pick up the House seat in Montgomery County that belongs to the other Senate candidate, Chris Van Hollen, but an influx of suburban female voters in a fractured field may give it to Kathleen Matthews, a former Marriott executive and MSNBC host Chris Matthews’s wife. (A third candidate, wine store owner David Trone, has spent more than $12 million on ads.)
ÇBarbara Mikulski, center left, is neutral&nbsp;in the primary. At a&nbsp;Maryland Democratic Party reception in her honor last fall,&nbsp;that's Donna Edwards on the right. (Photo by Bill O'Leary/The Washington Post)</p>
Barbara Mikulski, center left, is neutral in the primary. At a Maryland Democratic Party reception in her honor last fall, that’s Donna Edwards on the right. (Photo by Bill O’Leary/The Washington Post)— Maryland could be the only state currently represented by a woman in the Senate that will no longer be next year. The dean of congressional women, Barbara Mikulski, is retiring after 30 years. She was the first Democratic woman elected to the Senate in her own right. The demographics would seem to favor Edwards over Van Hollen, but he seems to have gotten the upper hand over the past few weeks in what remains a tight and fluid race. Martin O’Malley yesterday joined Nancy Pelosi and Harry Reid in supporting CVH, as he’s known.
Senate women are making gains elsewhere: The Democratic favorite to succeed the retiring Harry Reid is former Nevada Attorney General Catherine Cortez Masto. Barbara Boxer will almost certainly be succeeded by Kamala Harris or Loretta Sanchez in California. Vulnerable Sen. Kelly Ayotte is being challenged by New Hampshire’s female governor, Maggie Hassan.
“Edwards has put race and gender at the forefront of her campaign, emphasizing that only one black woman has ever served in the U.S. Senate,”
Rachel Weiner writes in a curtain-raiser on the primary. “I thought the Republican Party was full of dog whistles, but the Democratic Party has a foghorn,” the congresswoman told BuzzFeed.
Bernie Sanders campaigns yesterday&nbsp;in Hartford, Connecticut.&nbsp;(Reuters/Mike Segar)</p>
Bernie Sanders campaigns yesterday in Hartford, Connecticut. (Reuters/Mike Segar)Here are other things to watch as returns come in today—
— Will Bernie Sanders be mathematically eliminated? Last night, he predicted victory in Pennsylvania during a rally at Drexel University that drew a crowd of 3,000. “Sanders aides initially thought they could win here but are now facing polls showing Clinton with a double-digit lead,”
John Wagner writes. “Sanders has been running strongest in Rhode Island, which has only 24 delegates at stake. Because Democratic delegates are awarded proportionately, a win in Rhode Island would likely only yield Sanders a pick up of a couple of delegates. The large crowds that turned out for Sanders on Sunday seem to have boosted the campaign’s spirits about its prospects in Connecticut, which has 55 delegates in play. But a win in Maryland — with 95 delegates, the second biggest prize on Tuesday — is probably out of reach. Meanwhile, only 21 delegates are at stake in Delaware, the other state on the calendar.”
Four closed primaries work against Bernie: “Throughout the race, Sanders has performed far better in states that allow independent voters to participate in their Democratic primaries. Only one of the five on the calendar on Tuesday — Rhode Island — falls into that category. Clinton has routinely outpaced Sanders among registered Democrats, while Sanders … cleans up with unaffiliated voters,” Wagner adds.
Trump rallies in Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania, yesterday. (Reuters/Brendan McDermid)</p>
Trump rallies in Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania, yesterday. (Reuters/Brendan McDermid)— Donald Trump is poised to sweep all five states today, but how many delegates will he get? “Depending on results, Rhode Island and Connecticut could end up awarding delegates to a mix of contenders while the final results from Pennsylvania may not be known until votes are cast on the convention floor,” Ed O’Keefe reports. Here is Ed’s state-by-state breakdown of how it works:
PA: The 14 at-large delegates all go to the winner of the state. The 54 congressional district delegates are directly elected by voters and are officially unbound to a candidate. Winners do not need to announce their intentions, but in most cases, the candidates have said they’ll vote for whoever wins their district.
MD: Like Pennsylvania, the 24 Maryland delegates from the congressional districts are also directly elected. But they must vote for the winner in their congressional district. The 11 at-large delegates will be chosen at the Maryland Republican State Convention on May 13 and 14.
DE is winner-take-all.
CT: A candidate gets all 13 at-large and the RNC/leader delegates if he wins a majority statewide. If not, delegates are doled out proportionally to candidates getting at least 20 percent. Congressional district delegates are awarded to whoever wins the district.RI: This is an open primary – independents can participate. It’s also proportional for anyone who gets more than 10 percent, which means all three candidates should get some delegates.
John Kasich&nbsp;uses a cell phone as a prop to make a point about how technology has changed the way of life in the United States during a rally yesterday in Rockville, Maryland.&nbsp;(Photo by Michael S. Williamson/The Washington Post)</p> John Kasich uses a cell phone as a prop to make a point about how technology has changed the way of life in the United States during a rally yesterday in Rockville, Maryland. (Photo by Michael S. Williamson/The Washington Post)
— How many states will John Kasich finish second in? It is harder and harder for Ted Cruz to say that he’s in a two-way race with Trump each time he finishes third behind the Ohio governor, as he did in New York last week. A few of these Mid-Atlantic states fit Kasich’s politics better than Cruz’s. He may not come away with a ton of delegates, or a win, but it will give him an added rationale to fight on through the convention in Cleveland.
Before every previous election, including the March 15 primary in his home state of Ohio, Kasich was pretty far down the list of candidates getting buzzed about on social media. Yesterday, however, our analytics partners at Zignal Labs relay that he was second only to Trump in total mentions. (To be sure, some of this might be a result of the front-runner attacking him over his pact with Cruz.)
— Will any congressional incumbents go down? Despite the outsider, anti-establishment mood in both parties, no sitting member has lost a primary yet this year. Two Pennsylvanians are vulnerable today.</span
House Transportation Committee Chairman Bill Shuster (R) is dating Airlines for America lobbyist Shelley Rubino. He denies wrongdoing or a conflict of interest, but his tea party challenger has made hay of this and other issues to portray him as an out-of-touch creature of Washington.
Rep. Chaka Fattah, an 11-term Democrat, is going on trial in the coming weeks for 29 criminal counts, from bribery to racketeering and mail fraud, related to his 2007 run for mayor of Philadelphia. This has obviously made him vulnerable, But he faces three primary challengers so may be able to win with a plurality.Chaka Fattah&nbsp;(AP Photo/Matt Rourke, File)</p>
  Chaka Fattah (AP Photo/Matt Rourke, File)</pa
– Does Obama have juice? I wrote yesterday about the president’s efforts to help McGinty beat Sestak in the Democratic primary. Joe Biden campaigned with her yesterday in the Keystone State. The president has also endorsed Josh Shapiro for Pennsylvania Attorney General. The White House was also widely seen as tipping the scales in Van Hollen’s favor when it strongly condemned an attack ad against him that used the president’s image – but did not say anything about his response ad, which also used the president’s image.

— How Democrats get out the vote in Philadelphia: A pub crawl through “the Gayborhood.” I spent Saturday night going with McGinty to four gay bars. It’s actually a four-decade-old tradition in the City of Brotherly Love, begun by Ed Rendell when he was a 33-year-old looking to topple an incumbent district attorney. Read my full account of the experience here.
Welcome to the Daily 202, PowerPost’s morning newsletter.
With contributions from Breanne Deppisch (
@b_deppy) and Elise Viebeck (@eliseviebeck) Sign up to receive the newsletter.

rainha_reuters_Kieran_Doherty

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s